refactor: GT·시뮬·운영 3축 정리 및 hybrid 실거래 정합

Phase C/dry-run·미사용 모듈·재생성 HTML을 제거하고, 운영 체결을
sim_causal_hybrid와 동일한 hybrid 로직으로 통합한다.

Co-authored-by: Cursor <cursoragent@cursor.com>
This commit is contained in:
xavis
2026-06-03 23:50:28 +09:00
parent a16c942be4
commit d7848df6f7
85 changed files with 177180 additions and 196131 deletions

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scripts/06_verify_live.py Normal file
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#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""실거래(06) 기동 전 설정·hybrid tier·규칙·한도 점검. LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED=1 필수."""
from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import runpy
from datetime import datetime
from pathlib import Path
runpy.run_path(str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent / "_bootstrap.py"))
from config import ( # noqa: E402
CHART_LOOKBACK_DAYS,
GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW,
GT_SIGNAL_CAUSAL,
LIVE_HYBRID_BOOTSTRAP_FIRES,
LIVE_COOLDOWN_MIN,
LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX,
LIVE_DAILY_LOSS_LIMIT_KRW,
LIVE_MAX_TRADES_PER_DAY,
LIVE_ORDER_KRW,
LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED,
MATCH_LIVE_CACHE_SEC,
MATCH_PRIMARY_INTERVAL,
MONITOR_ALERT_KRW_AMOUNT,
MONITOR_LOOP_SLEEP_SEC,
SIM_PRIMARY_SIZING,
SYMBOL,
TRADING_FEE_RATE,
)
from deepcoin.data.mtf_bb import load_frames_from_db
from deepcoin.ground_truth.hybrid_dd_calibrate import load_hybrid_dd_params
from deepcoin.matching.live_eval import evaluate_live_rules
from deepcoin.ground_truth.causal_gt_hybrid import _close_series_from_df, hybrid_tier_scale
from deepcoin.ground_truth.gt_model import leg_entry_weights
from deepcoin.matching.position_sizing import compute_buy_amount_krw
from deepcoin.matching.load_rules import load_monitor_rules
from deepcoin.ops.hybrid_sim_execution import (
bootstrap_monitor_signals_from_outcomes,
build_live_signal_history,
plan_live_hit,
)
from deepcoin.ops.live_trader import LiveTrader
from deepcoin.ops.monitor import Monitor
def _plan_with_dd(
cash: float,
qty: float,
price: float,
dd_pct: float,
*,
enhanced: bool,
completed_leg_ret: dict[int, float] | None = None,
leg_id: int = 1,
) -> float:
"""drawdown %를 고정한 tier 매수 원화 (검증용)."""
weights = leg_entry_weights([price])
trade: dict = {"leg_id": leg_id, "drawdown_pct": dd_pct}
dd_params = load_hybrid_dd_params()
scale = hybrid_tier_scale(
trade,
completed_leg_ret=completed_leg_ret or {},
enhanced=enhanced,
dd_large_pct=dd_params.get("dd_large_pct"),
dd_medium_pct=dd_params.get("dd_medium_pct"),
)
return compute_buy_amount_krw(
cash,
qty,
price,
weights[0],
weights[0],
asset_pct_scale=scale,
fee_rate=TRADING_FEE_RATE,
ignore_weight_split=bool(trade.get("conviction_buy")),
)
def _print_header(title: str) -> None:
print(f"\n=== {title} ===")
def check_config() -> list[str]:
"""필수 설정 확인. 문제 목록 반환."""
issues: list[str] = []
_print_header("1. 설정")
print(f" SYMBOL={SYMBOL}")
print(f" GT_SIGNAL_CAUSAL={GT_SIGNAL_CAUSAL}")
print(f" LIVE_HYBRID_BOOTSTRAP_FIRES={LIVE_HYBRID_BOOTSTRAP_FIRES}")
print(f" LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED={LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED}")
print(f" SIM_PRIMARY_SIZING={SIM_PRIMARY_SIZING}")
dd = load_hybrid_dd_params()
print(f" hybrid DD: large={dd.get('dd_large_pct')}% medium={dd.get('dd_medium_pct')}%")
print(
f" LIVE 한도: daily_max={LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX:,} "
f"max_trades={LIVE_MAX_TRADES_PER_DAY} "
f"loss_limit={LIVE_DAILY_LOSS_LIMIT_KRW:,} "
f"cooldown={LIVE_COOLDOWN_MIN}min"
)
print(
f" 06 루프: sleep={MONITOR_LOOP_SLEEP_SEC}s · "
f"live_eval_cache={MATCH_LIVE_CACHE_SEC}s · bar={MATCH_PRIMARY_INTERVAL}m"
)
print(" 체결 엔진: sim_causal_hybrid (hybrid_sim_execution)")
print(f" GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW=₩{GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW:,}")
rules = load_monitor_rules()
print(f" monitor_rules={[r['rule_id'] for r in rules]}")
if not LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED:
issues.append("LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED=0 — 실거래 기동 불가")
if not GT_SIGNAL_CAUSAL:
issues.append("GT_SIGNAL_CAUSAL=0 — 인과 GT·hybrid 정합 권장(1)")
if not LIVE_HYBRID_BOOTSTRAP_FIRES:
issues.append("LIVE_HYBRID_BOOTSTRAP_FIRES=0 — 시뮬 이력 부트스트랩 꺼짐")
if len(rules) != 2:
issues.append(f"monitor_rules {len(rules)}개 (기대 2)")
expected = {"buy_compound_tight", "sell_mtf_cross_all_tf"}
got = {r["rule_id"] for r in rules}
if got != expected:
issues.append(f"monitor_rules 불일치: {got}")
return issues
def check_capital_alignment() -> list[str]:
"""초기 자금 40만 원 기준 원화 한도·알림 비율 점검."""
issues: list[str] = []
_print_header("1b. 초기 자금·비율 (운영)")
ic = int(GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW)
expected: dict[str, int] = {
"GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW": 400_000,
"MONITOR_ALERT_KRW_AMOUNT": int(ic * 0.10),
"LIVE_ORDER_KRW": int(ic * 0.10),
"LIVE_DAILY_LOSS_LIMIT_KRW": int(ic * 0.10),
"LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX": ic,
"LIVE_MAX_TRADES_PER_DAY": 15,
}
actual = {
"GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW": ic,
"MONITOR_ALERT_KRW_AMOUNT": int(MONITOR_ALERT_KRW_AMOUNT),
"LIVE_ORDER_KRW": int(LIVE_ORDER_KRW),
"LIVE_DAILY_LOSS_LIMIT_KRW": int(LIVE_DAILY_LOSS_LIMIT_KRW),
"LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX": int(LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX),
"LIVE_MAX_TRADES_PER_DAY": int(LIVE_MAX_TRADES_PER_DAY),
}
for key, exp in expected.items():
got = actual[key]
ok = got == exp
mark = "OK" if ok else "WARN"
print(f" [{mark}] {key}={got:,} (기대 {exp:,})")
if not ok:
issues.append(f"{key}={got:,} ≠ 기대 {exp:,}")
return issues
def check_tier_sizing(df) -> list[str]:
"""hybrid vs conviction tier 금액 비교 (enhanced=False가 primary)."""
issues: list[str] = []
_print_header("2. hybrid tier 사이징 (시나리오)")
price = 487.0
ic = int(GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW)
scenarios = [
("신규·소형DD(1%)", ic, 0.0, 1.0, {}),
("신규·대형DD(6%)", ic, 0.0, 6.0, {}),
("복리·과거leg+", ic * 2, ic / price * 0.5, 3.0, {0: 12.0}),
]
for label, cash, qty, dd, completed in scenarios:
hybrid_amt = _plan_with_dd(
cash, qty, price, dd, enhanced=False, completed_leg_ret=completed
)
conv_amt = _plan_with_dd(
cash, qty, price, dd, enhanced=True, completed_leg_ret=completed
)
print(
f" [{label}] cash={cash:,} hybrid={hybrid_amt:,} "
f"conviction={conv_amt:,} (conviction 배포 금지)"
)
if hybrid_amt <= 0:
issues.append(f"hybrid 금액 0: {label}")
return issues
def check_hybrid_bootstrap(df) -> list[str]:
"""fire_outcomes 부트스트랩 건수·plan_live_hit 동작."""
issues: list[str] = []
_print_header("2b. hybrid 부트스트랩 (sim_causal_hybrid)")
boot = bootstrap_monitor_signals_from_outcomes()
print(f" fire_outcomes monitor 발화: {len(boot)}")
if LIVE_HYBRID_BOOTSTRAP_FIRES and len(boot) < 100:
issues.append(f"bootstrap 발화 {len(boot)}건 — 04_match_rules 재실행 필요")
if df is None or df.empty or not boot:
return issues
hist = build_live_signal_history([])
last_buy = [s for s in boot if s["side"] == "buy"][-1:]
if last_buy:
plan = plan_live_hit(hist, last_buy[0], df, approved_buy_rules=None)
print(
f" 최근 매수 샘플 {last_buy[0]['dt']}: "
f"ok={plan.ok}{plan.amount_krw:,.0f} ({plan.message})"
)
return issues
def check_live_limits() -> None:
"""실거래 일한도 vs hybrid tier (plan_live_hit)."""
_print_header("3. 실거래 한도 vs hybrid tier")
mon = Monitor(cooldown_file=None)
frames = load_frames_from_db(mon, SYMBOL, lookback_days=CHART_LOOKBACK_DAYS)
df = frames.get(MATCH_PRIMARY_INTERVAL)
price = 487.0
if df is not None and not df.empty:
close_s = _close_series_from_df(df)
if not close_s.empty:
price = float(close_s.iloc[-1])
hist = build_live_signal_history([])
dt = str(df.index[-1]) if df is not None and not df.empty else "2026-06-01 12:00:00"
planned = plan_live_hit(
hist,
{
"dt": dt,
"rule_id": "buy_compound_tight",
"side": "buy",
"close": price,
},
df,
approved_buy_rules=None,
).amount_krw
trader = LiveTrader()
ok, reason = trader._can_trade("buy_compound_tight", planned)
print(f" 현재가={price:,.0f} · hybrid planned={planned:,}")
print(f" LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX={LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX:,} → _can_trade={ok} ({reason or 'OK'})")
if planned > LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX:
print(
" WARN: hybrid 1회 매수액이 일한도 초과 가능 — "
"시뮬 대비 실거래 체결액이 작아질 수 있음"
)
def check_live_eval() -> None:
"""현재 시점 규칙 발화."""
_print_header("4. 현재 발화 (live_eval)")
fired = evaluate_live_rules(force_refresh=True)
if not fired:
print(" 발화 없음 (정상 — 신호 대기)")
return
for hit in fired:
print(f" {hit['side']} {hit['rule_id']} @ {hit['dt']} close={hit['close']}")
def run_live_once() -> None:
"""06 1회 실거래 루프 (발화 시 주문)."""
_print_header("5. 06_execute_live --once")
LiveTrader().run_once()
def write_verification_report(issues: list[str], out_path: Path) -> None:
"""운영 점검 결과를 docs/05_ops에 기록."""
out_path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
status = "PASS" if not issues else "WARN"
lines = [
"# Live 운영 점검",
"",
f"- 일시: {datetime.now():%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S}",
f"- 결과: **{status}**",
"",
"## Check",
"",
f"- GT_SIGNAL_CAUSAL={GT_SIGNAL_CAUSAL}",
f"- LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED={LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED}",
"- monitor_rules: buy_compound_tight, sell_mtf_cross_all_tf",
f"- hybrid DD: {load_hybrid_dd_params()}",
"",
]
if issues:
lines.append("### 이슈")
lines.append("")
for i in issues:
lines.append(f"- {i}")
lines.append("")
lines.extend(
[
"## Act",
"",
"```bash",
"python scripts/06_execute_live.py",
"```",
"",
"## Kill switch",
"",
"- 06 프로세스 중지",
"- 빗썸 앱 수동 청산",
"",
]
)
out_path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8")
print(f"\n[저장] {out_path}")
def main() -> int:
"""실거래 기동 전 점검."""
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="06 실거래 점검")
parser.add_argument(
"--once",
action="store_true",
help="점검 후 06_execute_live 1회 실행 (실주문 가능)",
)
args = parser.parse_args()
print("[06_verify] 실거래 점검 시작")
if not LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED:
print("오류: LIVE_TRADING_ENABLED=0 — .env 에 1 설정 필요")
return 1
issues = check_config()
issues.extend(check_capital_alignment())
mon = Monitor(cooldown_file=None)
frames = load_frames_from_db(mon, SYMBOL, lookback_days=CHART_LOOKBACK_DAYS)
df = frames.get(MATCH_PRIMARY_INTERVAL)
if df is None or df.empty:
issues.append("3m OHLC 없음 — 01_download 필요")
else:
issues.extend(check_tier_sizing(df))
issues.extend(check_hybrid_bootstrap(df))
check_live_limits()
check_live_eval()
if args.once:
run_live_once()
out = (
Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1]
/ "docs"
/ "05_ops"
/ f"live_verification_{datetime.now():%Y%m%d}.md"
)
write_verification_report(issues, out)
_print_header("요약")
if issues:
for i in issues:
print(f" WARN: {i}")
return 1
print(" 운영 설정 PASS — 06_execute_live 기동 가능")
return 0
if __name__ == "__main__":
raise SystemExit(main())