3분~일봉 GT 타점 분석(03c), leg 체결 순서 수정, 총자산 90% 검증 루프, walk-forward Go/No-Go 시뮬, monitor·live_trader 및 reference 문서를 포함한다. Co-authored-by: Cursor <cursoragent@cursor.com>
216 lines
6.2 KiB
Python
216 lines
6.2 KiB
Python
"""
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규칙 발화 기반 고정 금액 체결 포트폴리오 시뮬 (GT HTML 카드·테이블용).
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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from typing import Any
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import pandas as pd
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from config import (
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GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW,
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LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX,
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LIVE_MAX_TRADES_PER_DAY,
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LIVE_ORDER_KRW,
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TRADING_FEE_RATE,
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)
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def select_capped_fires(fires: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
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"""
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일한도·회수 제한으로 체결 가능한 발화만 남깁니다.
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Args:
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fires: fire_outcomes (dt, side, close, rule_id …).
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Returns:
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체결된 발화 DataFrame.
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"""
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if fires.empty:
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return fires
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df = fires.sort_values("dt").copy()
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df["ts"] = pd.to_datetime(df["dt"])
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df["day"] = df["ts"].dt.date.astype(str)
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taken: list[pd.DataFrame] = []
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for _, day_grp in df.groupby("day", sort=True):
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spent = 0.0
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n_trades = 0
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idxs: list[Any] = []
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for idx, _row in day_grp.iterrows():
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if n_trades >= LIVE_MAX_TRADES_PER_DAY:
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break
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if spent + LIVE_ORDER_KRW > LIVE_DAILY_KRW_MAX:
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break
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spent += LIVE_ORDER_KRW
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n_trades += 1
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idxs.append(idx)
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if idxs:
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taken.append(day_grp.loc[idxs])
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if not taken:
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return df.iloc[0:0]
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return pd.concat(taken, ignore_index=True)
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def fires_to_trade_list(fires: pd.DataFrame) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
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"""
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발화 DataFrame을 포트폴리오 시뮬용 trade dict 리스트로 변환.
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Args:
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fires: 체결 대상 발화.
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Returns:
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dt, action, price 키를 가진 dict 리스트.
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"""
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rows: list[dict[str, Any]] = []
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for _, r in fires.sort_values("dt").iterrows():
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rows.append(
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{
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"dt": str(r["dt"]),
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"action": r["side"],
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"price": float(r["close"]),
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"rule_id": r.get("rule_id", ""),
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"forward_ret_pct": float(r.get("forward_ret_pct", 0)),
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}
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)
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return rows
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def simulate_fixed_order_portfolio(
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trades: list[dict[str, Any]],
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order_krw: float = LIVE_ORDER_KRW,
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initial_cash: float = GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW,
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fee_rate: float = TRADING_FEE_RATE,
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last_price: float | None = None,
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) -> dict[str, Any]:
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"""
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매 체결마다 고정 원화 금액으로 매수·매도한 뒤 총평가·수익률을 계산합니다.
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Args:
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trades: 시간순 {dt, action, price}.
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order_krw: 1회 매수·매도 금액(원).
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initial_cash: 시작 현금.
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fee_rate: 수수료율.
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last_price: 미청산 평가 종가.
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Returns:
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simulate_truth_portfolio와 동일 키 구조.
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"""
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cash = float(initial_cash)
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qty = 0.0
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total_fees = 0.0
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last_trade_price = last_price
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order = float(order_krw)
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for t in sorted(trades, key=lambda x: x["dt"]):
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action = t["action"]
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price = float(t["price"])
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if price <= 0:
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continue
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last_trade_price = price
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if action == "buy":
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amount = min(order, max(cash / (1.0 + fee_rate), 0.0))
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if amount <= 0:
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continue
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fee = amount * fee_rate
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cash -= amount + fee
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total_fees += fee
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qty += amount / price
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elif action == "sell" and qty > 0:
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sell_qty = min(qty, order / price)
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if sell_qty <= 0:
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continue
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gross = sell_qty * price
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fee = gross * fee_rate
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cash += gross - fee
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total_fees += fee
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qty -= sell_qty
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if qty < 1e-12:
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qty = 0.0
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mark_price = float(last_price if last_price is not None else last_trade_price or 0)
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holding_value = qty * mark_price
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final_asset = cash + holding_value
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pnl_krw = final_asset - initial_cash
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pnl_pct = pnl_krw / initial_cash * 100.0 if initial_cash else 0.0
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return {
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"initial_cash_krw": round(initial_cash, 0),
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"final_asset_krw": round(final_asset, 0),
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"pnl_krw": round(pnl_krw, 0),
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"pnl_pct": round(pnl_pct, 2),
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"total_fees_krw": round(total_fees, 0),
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"cash_krw": round(cash, 0),
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"holding_qty": round(qty, 6),
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"holding_value_krw": round(holding_value, 0),
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"mark_price": round(mark_price, 2),
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"fee_rate": fee_rate,
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"order_krw": round(order, 0),
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"trade_count": len(trades),
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}
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def simulate_fixed_order_portfolio_steps(
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trades: list[dict[str, Any]],
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order_krw: float = LIVE_ORDER_KRW,
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initial_cash: float = GT_INITIAL_CASH_KRW,
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fee_rate: float = TRADING_FEE_RATE,
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) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
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"""
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체결마다 현금·보유·총평가 스냅샷 (GT 테이블용).
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Args:
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trades: 시간순 trade dict.
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order_krw: 1회 체결 원화.
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initial_cash: 시작 현금.
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fee_rate: 수수료율.
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Returns:
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step dict 리스트.
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"""
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cash = float(initial_cash)
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qty = 0.0
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order = float(order_krw)
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steps: list[dict[str, Any]] = []
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for t in sorted(trades, key=lambda x: x["dt"]):
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action = t["action"]
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price = float(t["price"])
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if price <= 0:
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continue
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if action == "buy":
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amount = min(order, max(cash / (1.0 + fee_rate), 0.0))
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if amount <= 0:
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continue
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fee = amount * fee_rate
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cash -= amount + fee
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qty += amount / price
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elif action == "sell" and qty > 0:
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sell_qty = min(qty, order / price)
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if sell_qty <= 0:
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continue
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gross = sell_qty * price
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fee = gross * fee_rate
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cash += gross - fee
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qty -= sell_qty
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if qty < 1e-12:
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qty = 0.0
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steps.append(
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{
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"dt": t["dt"],
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"action": action,
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"price": price,
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"rule_id": t.get("rule_id", ""),
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"forward_ret_pct": t.get("forward_ret_pct"),
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"cash_krw": round(cash, 0),
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"holding_qty": round(qty, 4),
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"total_asset_krw": round(cash + qty * price, 0),
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}
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)
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return steps
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